General Election 2019: Will You Vote For Other Party Than in 2017 Because of BREXIT?
Many political leaders have changed allegiance regarding Brexit disappointing their constituencies.
This evening MPs will most likely vote for Early General Election in December 2019. Labour has confirmed that NO-deal is off the table and so they are ready to support early elections.
Now, General Election is about much more than Brexit but Britain is split down the middle on this issue.
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GBP erased earlier losses after early general election prospects.
Since 2017, many MPs have switched sides, and political leaders have changed allegiance regarding Brexit.
The option to leave or remain in EU has spitted parties and created new ones and any poll regarding a People’s vote has revealed that, placing the winning side in advantage with 1 or 2 %.
In this House of Commons, the independents would not exist except for the politics of Brexit. Frustration with Corbyn’s equivocations on Brexit helped to drive the former Labour MPs into the group. Despair with the Tory right’s grip on May’s Brexit strategy did the equivalent for the former Conservatives.
Britain is split down the middle on the Brexit issue. A centrist position might arguably be to accept a soft Brexit. Yet the independents are not selling themselves as soft Brexiters but as solid remainers and advocates of the so-called people’s vote. They want a second referendum in the hope that it will overturn the first.
An unprecedented period of volatility in party loyalties, in which almost half of voters have switched sides since 2010, and the fluidity of Brexit will make the next general election hugely difficult to call, according to a major study.
The findings from the British Election Study (BES), an ongoing survey running since the 1964 election, augmented by ongoing polling from a 30,000-person online panel, will make uneasy reading for party leaders plotting their strategy.
A BES news release early in October, has revealed that:
- Across three elections from 2010-17 almost half UK electorate (49%) didn’t vote for same party;
- 2015 and 2017 general elections saw highest levels of voter volatility in modern times;
- “Electoral shocks” like Brexit, 2008 crash and immigration determine vote choice and have greater impacts in a volatile electorate;
- Brexit shock still ongoing – and its outcomes are highly unpredictable.
“We don’t know what the Brexit situation will be on election day. We don’t know who will get the blame for the current political deadlock, or who will benefit. But we do expect there to be clear winners and losers because voters are now more changeable in response to such shock events. A key driver of vote choice will be how competent each party is perceived to be on Brexit,” said Professor Jane Green (Nuffield College, University of Oxford).
According to an exclusive Politico Poll, U.K. voters have vacated the Brexit middle ground in favor of the extreme positions of either revoking Article 50 or pursuing a no-deal Brexit, according to exclusive polling for POLITICO.
The data, from four clusters of swing seats in England and Scotland, suggests that voters frustrated by the political impasse over Brexit and the failure to leave the EU in March have largely lost patience with attempts to find a deal. Support for a further delay to Brexit has collapsed and respondents are now breaking to the two extreme positions.
With a general election looking potentially like the only way to break the Brexit stalemate, the poll — which included 3,066 respondents and was conducted between June 21 and July 15 — painted a picture of an increasingly polarized U.K. political landscape.
It is worth mentioning that this divide goes also for the news sources and media in general. According to Meera Selva and Richard Fletcher (University of Oxford), Crucially, both Leavers and Remainers trust TV news more than other news – Remainers tend to trust the BBC and Leavers put their faith in ITV – but either way, national, mainstream broadcasters are still the biggest players in town and are speaking to both sides.
"The recent Brexit debates in parliament, and the way they have been reported by journalists as a series of wins and losses for different politicians, with uncritical reporting of anonymous sources, have not helped. They’ve done precious little to explain just what Brexit means – and will continue to mean for Britain.
Britain’s disengagement from the European Union will be a slow, messy, complicated process with no clear winners and losers and if journalists don’t find better ways to tell this story, people will switch off, at precisely the moment they need to make informed political decisions."
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Will You Vote For Another Party Because of Brexit?
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