Do You Support a NO-DEAL BREXIT?
What are the chances for a no-deal Brexit?
NO-DEAL BREXIT or as it is called the “Leave on WTO terms” seems to be the most simple and faster way of dealing with BREXIT. But many have pointed to economic and security threats.
On August 1, Boris Johnson's majority in the Commons has dropped to just one seat, so more opposition in Parliament against a no-deal scenario. Also this might lead to a snap election in 2019.
On July 31, Mr Sajid Javid has doubled the no deal funding making the no-deal an official scenario for the Gov. policy.
Boris Johnson warns that NO-DEAL BREXIT is no bluff, and he is not alone in this
Boris Johnson, as the favorite in the Tory leadership contest and most likely the next Prime Minister, has made it clear that, if no visible efforts are being made by EU officials to reach an agreement, he will be happy to lead the UK out of EU on WTO terms.
Nigel Farage and the Brexit Party are obvious supporters of NO-DEAL idea and any hesitations from the Downing St. 10 will fuel his campaigns and increase his popularity.
Other brexiteer MPs have backed the option to leave EU October 31, 2019 no matter what.
NO-DEAL BREXIT has strong opposition too
On the other side, the WTO director warned about the need to have some form of agreement in order to avoid higher costs on imported and exported products.
Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party (who recently, officially joined the Remain camp) are warning about the social impact of a leaving EU with out a deal.
Pro EU parties like Lib Dems and Change UK have continuously campaigned against any type of BREXIT, placing anyway the NO-DEAL scenario as most dangerous one.
Anyway, the bigger issue is not about trade but about Northern Ireland.
A NO DEAL scenario would imply a border between NI and the Republic of Ireland. This could lead to different kinds of trouble, from smuggling to civil unrest and tensions between the loyalist and the republicans, according to the head of NI Civil Service, David Sterling.
“The Police Service of Northern Ireland assessment has been and remains that new infrastructure on the border would be at risk of attack by republicans.” underlined Sterling.
Maybe there will be no need for a NO-DEAL Brexit
Johnson, told a hustings that the chances of a no-deal Brexit were vanishingly small, as he believed there was a mood in the EU and among MPs to pass a new Brexit deal.
“It is absolutely vital that we prepare for a no-deal Brexit if we are going to get a deal,” he said. “But I don’t think that is where we are going to end up – I think it is a million-to-one against – but it is vital that we prepare.”
So, what do you think?
Do you support or do you oppose the NO-DEAL BREXIT scenario? Why?
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